2010 midterm elections5/8/2023 ![]() The following sections discuss the relationship between midterm election outcomes, historically, and each of these four polling indicators, as well as party affiliation. Congressional and presidential job approval are near their historical low marks. economy and national satisfaction are the lowest Gallup has measured at the time of a midterm election over the life of these polling trends, starting in 19, respectively. Heading into Election Day, 40% of Americans approve of the job Joe Biden is doing as president, 17% are satisfied with the way things are going in the U.S., 49% describe the health of the economy as poor (compared with 14% saying it is excellent or good), and 21% approve of the job the Democratically led Congress is doing.Ĭurrent ratings of the U.S. The political environment for the 2022 midterm elections should work to the benefit of the Republican Party, with all national mood indicators similar to, if not worse than, what they have been in other years when the incumbent party fared poorly in midterms. Party identification and leaning evenly split in third quarter.President Biden's low job approval rating points to Democratic seat losses in 2022.Americans' mood on key metrics worse than in other recent midterm election years.At least three Republicans aligned with the more conservative faction of the party - Mayes Middleton, Jared Patterson and Steve Toth - won their races. Greg Abbott to unseat her in the March primaries.ĭespite the GOP’s losses on Tuesday, the 12-member, hardline conservative House Freedom Caucus could grow its membership by at least a few in 2019. Davis, a centrist, pro-abortion rights Republican, survived a heavy-handed attempt by Gov. Sarah Davis, R-West University Place, held off her Democratic opponent, Allison Lami Sawyer. Gary Elkins of Houston.Īnother Houston-area Republican, state Rep. Mike Schofield, R-Katy, with a razor-thin 49-vote margin, and Jon Rosenthal narrowly defeated Republican state Rep. Paul Workman, R-Austin.Īnd they won two more in the Houston area, where Gina Calanni ousted state Rep. Larry Gonzales, R-Round Rock and Democrat Vikki Goodwin unseated state Rep. Jason Isaac, R-Dripping Springs James Talarico beat Republican Cynthia Flores to succeed former state Rep. ![]() Tony Dale, R-Cedar Park Erin Zwiener edged Republican Ken Strange for a seat being vacated by state Rep. Democrats also flipped a number of GOP-held seats in Central Texas and in the Houston area.ĭemocratic women picked off five North Texas seats, highlighted by defeats of two high-profile GOP incumbents: Julie Johnson defeated Matt Rinaldi of Irving, a member of the hardline conservative Texas House Freedom Caucus, while Michelle Beckley beat Ron Simmons of Carrollton, who authored a version of the “bathroom bill” in 2017.ĭemocrats also picked up four seats in Central Texas: John Bucy III defeated state Rep. ![]() In January, when the Texas Legislature convenes for the 86th legislative session, the Republicans’ 95-55 advantage over the Democrats will shrink to 83-67, which could boost the role Democrats will play in electing the next Texas House Speaker - who will only need support from 76 House members to succeed the retiring Joe Straus, a San Antonio Republican.ĭemocrats made most of their House gains in North Texas, where shifting demographics, along with Democratic enthusiasm for the top of their party’s ticket, placed GOP incumbents up and down the ballot on the defense. Led by a slate of female candidates, Democrats flipped 12 seats in the Texas House in Tuesday’s midterm elections, marking the biggest shift in the lower chamber since the 2010 midterm elections. ![]()
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